← All case studies
BaseballLost 8-5

Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians

Pick: Houston Astros

Peak edge
+21.1%

Sportsbooks priced Houston Astros at 83.8% (conservative multi-book consensus) while Polymarket was asking 61.0¢.

Matchup
Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians
Our pick
Houston Astros
Peak edge
+21.1%
Sportsbook consensus
83.8%
Polymarket ask
61.0¢
Final score
Houston Astros 5 — 8 Cleveland Guardians
Thesis
Pick lost

This edge was real. We find dozens every week.

Free gets you pre-match edges. Pro gets you live ones — while they're still open. No credit card to start.